Dan Gardner

Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose

Superforecasting

How Big Things Get Done

How Big Things Get Done

Risk

TRUST

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (Unabridged)

Como fazer coisas grandes: Os fatores surpreendentes que determinam o sucesso de cada projeto, de reformas residenciais à exploração espacial (Unabridged)

Les Sept Piliers de la confiance

Cómo hacer grandes cosas

Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway

How Big Things Get Done