Once again the turf writers are hedging their bylines and carping about the lack of talent entering the 2011 Kentucky Derby. The fact is the field is lousy every year. Make no mistake, this is a crop of amazingly undeserving entries, but there aren't three great horses in the world, let alone enough 3-year-old colts to muster a compelling Derby. Do you want a sure thing? Twenty are running and one of them will win.