Dan Gardner

Superforecasting

How Big Things Get Done

How Big Things Get Done

The Seven Rules of Trust

Future Babble

Risk

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (Unabridged)

How Big Things Get Done

Como fazer coisas grandes: Os fatores surpreendentes que determinam o sucesso de cada projeto, de reformas residenciais à exploração espacial (Unabridged)

Les Sept Piliers de la confiance

Cómo hacer grandes cosas

Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway