Impact of Agricultural Supports for Climate Change Adaptation: A Farm Level Assessment (Report‪)‬

INTRODUCTION Currently, Malaysia ranks as the 26th largest greenhouse gas emitter in the world with a population of about 27 million (and it appears likely to move up the list quickly due to the growth rate of emissions). Here, due to high greenhouse gas emissions the temperature is projected to rise by about 0.3-4.5 [degrees] C. Warmer temperature will cause to a rise in sea level about 95 cm over a hundred-year period. The changes in rainfall may fluctuate from about -30-+30%. This change will reduce crop yield and cause drought in many areas so that cultivation of some crops such as rubber, oil palm and cocoa will not be possible (NRS). The projection shows maximum monthly precipitation will increase up to 51% over Pahang, Kelantan and Terengganu and the minimum precipitation will decrease by 32-61% for the entire Peninsular Malaysia. Consequently, annual rainfall will increase up to 10% in Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang and North West Coast and decrease up to 5% in Selangor and Johor (Kavvas et al., 2006). This variation of climate factors will cause the agricultural system to be vulnerable in Malaysia.