Philip E. Tetlock

Superforecasting

Superforecasting

Superforecasting

Expert Political Judgment

Expert Political Judgment

Expert Political Judgment

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

Superprognózy

Superprognózy

Comment être visionnaire

Comment être visionnaire

Comment être visionnaire

Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know? (Unabridged)

Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know? (Unabridged)

Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know? (Unabridged)