A Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis & Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

INTRODUCTION

THE “MIND-SET” CHALLENGE 

Using the analytic techniques contained in this primer will assist analysts in dealing with the perennial problems of intelligence: the complexity of international developments, incomplete and ambiguous information, and the inherent limitations of the human mind. Understanding the intentions and capabilities of adversaries and other foreign actors is challenging, especially when either or both are concealed. Moreover, transnational threats today pose even greater complexity, in that they involve multiple actors—including non-state entities—that can adapt and transform themselves faster than those who seek to monitor and contain them. Finally, globalization has increased the diversity of outcomes when complex, interactive systems such as financial flows, regional economies or the international system as a whole are in flux.


CONTENTS By CHAPTER:

An Overview of the Central Intelligence Agency


Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis 


Author’s Preface And Forward To Psychology of Intelligence Analysis


Psychology of Intelligence Analysis


The facts are ... a guide to falsehood and propaganda in the press and radio (1942)


Film - Military Intelligence Specialists (1961)


Film - Science of Spying (1965)


Film - Defense Against The Spy (1967)


Film - Counter-Intelligence Special Operations (1969)


Film - The Walker Spy Ring: Lessons Learned (1989)


Using Primary Sources