Population and Agricultural Development Models: The Promise of the Third Generation (Report‪)‬

The first- and second-generation economic-demographic models concentrated on the consequences of population growth. These were judged negative in the former, or possibly having some positive Kuznetsian effects in the latter. The proposed third-generation model examines conjointly both consequences and determinants of population growth, and analyzes them at the level of the agricultural household. In such a model the effects of population growth on agricultural development cannot be determined a priori but become the subject of empirical investigation. **********