The End of Normal
The Great Crisis and the Future of Growth
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4.0 • 4 Ratings
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- $7.99
Publisher Description
From one of the most respected economic thinkers and writers of our time, a brilliant argument about the history and future of economic growth.
The years since the Great Crisis of 2008 have seen slow growth, high unemployment, falling home values, chronic deficits, a deepening disaster in Europe—and a stale argument between two false solutions, “austerity” on one side and “stimulus” on the other. Both sides and practically all analyses of the crisis so far take for granted that the economic growth from the early 1950s until 2000—interrupted only by the troubled 1970s—represented a normal performance. From this perspective, the crisis was an interruption, caused by bad policy or bad people, and full recovery is to be expected if the cause is corrected.
The End of Normal challenges this view. Placing the crisis in perspective, Galbraith argues that the 1970s already ended the age of easy growth. The 1980s and 1990s saw only uneven growth, with rising inequality within and between countries. And the 2000s saw the end even of that—despite frantic efforts to keep growth going with tax cuts, war spending, and financial deregulation. When the crisis finally came, stimulus and automatic stabilization were able to place a floor under economic collapse. But they are not able to bring about a return to high growth and full employment. In The End of Normal, “Galbraith puts his pessimism into an engaging, plausible frame. His contentions deserve the attention of all economists and serious financial minds across the political spectrum” (Publishers Weekly, starred review).
PUBLISHERS WEEKLY
Since the 2008 financial debacle, University of Texas economist Galbraith yes, he is Kenneth's son, and, yes, he is a stand-out economist in his own right has made something of a splash. Galbraith criticizes efforts to revitalize banks and at all costs get back to "normal" growth. He explains convincingly why 2008 was a "turning point" the end of normal and gives an extended, articulate account of flush postwar economic growth, locating its end in the 1970s. He reviews the millennial derivatives orgy and the banking system's response. Drawing a dark portrait of high unemployment and unsustainable debt, and predicting an increasingly unstable Europe, Galbraith makes it clear he is no friend of "austerity" or capitalism's status quo. Bankers' orthodoxies about debt and credit go forward based on what Galbraith sees as postwar anomalies and false assumptions. In the portrait he draws, credit excesses in the 2010s are deep and worldwide, while energy, global leadership, and technology are wild cards. Systemic collapse, if and when it comes, he warns, will not be a pretty sight. His Cassandra-style conclusions are scattered and confrontational; his fixes are few. But Galbraith puts his pessimism into an engaging, plausible frame. His contentions deserve the attention of all economists and serious financial minds across the political spectrum.
Customer Reviews
Dismal Science
As a lay reader of economics over 30 years I found this work insightful and challenging. I certainly bought into the tenet that the assumption of growth is not a given and that our economic models have missed some very important parameters. However his conclusion is too dismal for me. His case on military might or its decline is inconclusive, I’m not sure even relevant. I feel he is blindsided on innovation especially the contribution it has (is and will make) made to the American empire. For me , I’d vote for the likes of George P Mitchell every time. My theis is his blindspot on innovation is no different to the thesis Galbraith asserts about the blindspot of resources restriction to growth shown by mainstream economists. Right or wrong this is the best book I’ve read about what happened in 2007/2008 and econimics in general in the last 15 years, at least.