Will Tehran Accept the Solana Proposal? (Text and Context) (Reprint‪)‬

At a lunch with a dozen journalists in New York last week, Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki indicated that Iran would likely respond favorably to the latest proposal by the United Nations' Security Council's five permanent members plus Germany ("Iran Six"). The reason seems to be that alongside an incentive package that didn't differ significantly from a 2006 package that Tehran rejected, a formula may have been agreed on that would enable all parties to come to the negotiating table without losing face. (The five members are the United States, France, China, Britain and Russia.) European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana presented the formula orally to the Iranians: for a period of six weeks, Iran would halt any advancement in its enrichment activities while the Security Council would refrain from imposing additional sanctions on Iran. During this period, the Europeans and Iran would negotiate an agreement on the modalities of a full suspension, after which the United States would formally join the talks. This way, Tehran can claim that it didn't suspend as a precondition, but rather as a result of talks, and Washington can claim that it did not join talks until Iran had suspended all enrichment activities.